Will money from the West be the decisive factor in the Russia-Ukraine war?

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Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy attends the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, January 16, 2024. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse

The US House of Representatives approved a large aid package for Ukraine, signalling a potential turning point in the ongoing conflict with Russia. The $95 billion foreign aid package, which includes $61 billion in military assistance, including $13.8 billion in weapons, provides a lifeline to Ukraine in its struggle against Russian aggression.

The facts

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy noted the importance of US funding, saying that without it, Ukraine risked losing the war. This supply shipment is viewed as a game changer, particularly since Ukrainian forces face significant ammunition shortages, limiting their ability to defend against Russian attacks.

Ukraine’s commanders and analysts believe the aid package will help limit Russia’s gradual progress in the conflict, which is now in its third year. The supply of long-range missiles and air defences is especially important in countering Russia’s anticipated full-scale offensive.

The approval of the aid package is an unusual example of bipartisan cooperation in the United States Congress. Both Democrats and Republicans approved the measure, overcoming resistance and recognising the importance of defending Ukraine from Russian aggression.

The arguments

Beyond Ukraine’s borders, Western governments know about the strategic importance of backing Ukraine in its fight against Russia.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg reaffirmed how supporting Ukraine strengthens security for all NATO members, while European leaders called for the need to stand with Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression.

Time-sensitive delivery

Despite the approval, there are concerns about how long it will take for supplies to reach the frontlines. Delays may cause additional setbacks for Ukrainian forces, allowing Russia to exploit vulnerabilities. However, timely delivery could deter Russia’s present offensive and stabilise the situation.

Acknowledgement of delayed aid

Olexiy Haran, professor of comparative politics at the National University of Kyiv-Mohlya Academy said to news agency AP that, while aid is critical, it arrives later than expected. Early aid could have saved lives, while more planning and financing would be required for long-term stability.

Ukrainian determination

President Zelenskyy remains steadfast, noting that Ukraine’s need for assistance will persist until weapons are really delivered. He uses the delayed delivery of F-16 fighter fighters, a promise made a year ago but yet unfulfilled, as an illustration of the ongoing issues.

Russia’s response

The Kremlin’s reaction to the aid package underscores the need for Western support for Ukraine. While Russia expected approval, it continues to spread propaganda against Ukraine, presenting the aid as harmful to Ukraine’s interests.

In essence, the Western aid package provides a key lifeline for Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression. However, timely delivery of weapons and continuous backing will be critical for Ukraine to turn the tide and defend its sovereignty.

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